Mortgage Rates Fall More Than Expected After Jobs Report
As of last week, rates were showing some signs of resilience, but they had to wait for the true test from this week's jobs report. Spoiler alert: they passed the test.
It wasn't that the headline job count was particularly low, but it wasn't strong enough to argue against the fact that the labor market has cooled off compared to the first half of the year, or that 2024 is much cooler than 2023.
The simplest way to visualize the cooling is via this chart of the unemployment rate.
It would be fair to point out that 4.2+ is still a historically low unemployment rate, but just as fair to point out that the unemployment rate tends to move with a sort of glacial momentum that rarely changes course abruptly.
This cooling is one of the reasons the Fed decided to begin c
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